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Environmental Policy as Social Policy? The Impact of Childhood Lead Exposure on Crime

Jessica Wolpaw Reyes’s 2007 paper using state-by-state falls in gasoline lead.

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Dates
2007
The debate

What it found

The elasticity of violent crime with respect to lead is estimated to be approximately 0.8.1

Who disputes it

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Timeline 2 dates
  1. 2007 Environmental Policy as Social Policy? The Impact of Childhood Lead Exposure on Crime
  2. 2022 The lead-crime hypothesis: a meta-analysis disputes a finding of Environmental Policy as Social Policy? The Impact of Childhood Lead Exposure on Crime According to The lead-crime hypothesis: a meta-analysis
Proof 2 sources
  1. Environmental Policy as Social Policy? The Impact of Childhood Lead Exposure on Crime (NBER Working Paper 13097), National Bureau of Economic Research, May 2007. Scholarship & press
    The elasticity of violent crime with respect to lead is estimated to be approximately 0.8.
    In the late 1970s in the United States, lead was removed from gasoline under the Clean Air Act.
  2. The lead-crime hypothesis: a meta-analysis (Regional Science and Urban Economics 97:103826), University of Glasgow (Enlighten), Elsevier, 21 Aug 2022. Scholarship & press
    The effect of lead is overstated in the literature due to publication bias.
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